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Market Review  |  Rhodium, Ruthenium & Nickel
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Current metals pricing  
   
 
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Rhodium
Rhodium demand fell by 4% in 2007 to 808,000 ounces. However, the market is still expected to remain in deficit as shipments from Russia have declined.
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Rhodium supply and demand
(000 oz) 2007 2006
Supply
South Africa 695 690
Russia 70 95
North America 20 20
Others 19 19
Total supply 804 824
Demand
Autocatalyst:  
          gross 861 867
          recovery (179) (169)
Chemical 55 48
Electrical 10 9
Glass 38 65
Other 23 21
Total demand 808 841
Movements in stocks (4) (17)
Source: Johnson Matthey
 
AUTOCATALYST
Demand for rhodium in the autocatalyst sector declined in 2007 despite increasing global vehicle production. High rhodium prices have put steady pressure on vehicle manufacturers to thrift the rhodium content in their emission control technology. In North America, rhodium demand was unchanged in 2007. Demand in Japan was lower in 2007. Auto manufacturers purchased rhodium for stocks in 2006 and this is not believed to have occurred in 2007. In Europe, continued growth in the diesel market affected demand for rhodium which declined by 10%. The region of greatest growth in demand is in China and 'Rest of world', where vehicle production is expanding rapidly.
 
OTHER
Demand for rhodium in the glass industry grew strongly between 2004 and 2006 with a number of new furnaces constructed for the rapidly expanding liquid crystal display (LCD) glass market. The rate of expansion has slowed with a concomitant decrease in rhodium offtake in this sector. Demand fell by 41% to 38,000 ounces. Rhodium is used in catalysts in the production of acetic acid, oxo-alcohols and other chemicals. Demand from this sector is expected to have increased to 55,000 ounces.
 
Ruthenium
Ruthenium is an essential material for the manufacture of perpendicular magnetic recording hard disks. Growth in demand for ruthenium increased rapidly in 2006 and 2007. Global refining capacity to process revert scrap from this application was not sufficient in 2006 and the price of ruthenium rose rapidly. In 2007, however, this capacity has increased and recycled metal supplied a greater proportion of industry needs. 
 
Nickel
The nickel price opened the year at US$32,940 per tonne, rallied strongly during the first and second quarters to peak around the US$54,000 per metric tonne level in May before trading progressively lower to close the year at US$26,200 per tonne. Volatility reached record levels as a result of the rapid shift from a critically tight market to a surplus. The shift in position was largely on the back of increased production of pig iron containing low nickel and a reduction in stainless steel production in China in the latter half of the year. London Metal Exchange (LME) stocks opened the year at 6,570 tonnes, before closing the year at 47,940 tonnes.

Nickel production grew by more than 8% in 2007 with similar growth levels expected in 2008 and 2009. The Goro and Ravensthorpe projects are expected to be fully operational by then, contributing about 5% of the global mine supply. Nickel supply continues to grow from new nickel mine projects such as Ravensthorpe and Goro plus the expansion of existing operations and more recently the production of nickel pig iron produced from previously uneconomic stockpiles of low-grade laterites. The production of nickel pig iron only started in 2007 in China due to the high price of virgin nickel. It was not economical to produce this at prices below US$23,000 per tonne. The nickel price has increased by more than 650% over the period 2002 to 2007. An estimated 35,000 tonnes of nickel contained in nickel pig iron was produced in 2007 and production is expected to increase to 55,000 tonnes in 2008.

Nickel demand remains healthy, driven predominantly by the robust Chinese stainless steel production. China boosted its stainless steel production capacity by rapidly building stainless steel plants and is now a net exporter of the metal. Chinese nickel demand grew by about 20% year on year, despite producers cutting back on production in the third quarter. As Chinese exports of stainless steel continue to put pressure on markets globally, European demand for nickel is expected to remain subdued, increasing marginally in the coming years. Similar growth patterns are expected in other markets such as Japan and South Korea.

The growth in LME nickel inventories of 41,370 tonnes over 2007 came about through the supply-demand surplus. Fundamentally the outlook for nickel remains healthy for 2008. The current price has corrected itself from record highs in May and settled in the US$25- 30,000 per tonne range. 
 
RUTHENIUM USED IN MRAM MEMORY ELEMENT
A group of Japanese researchers from Tohoku University and Hitachi claim to have developed a new type of memory element structure for magnetoresistive random access memory (MRAM) using a double layered composition made from ruthenium and cobalt-iron-boron. This method could prove a stepping stone towards gigabit-level versions of the technology, tradingmarkets.com reports. The team developed the memory element by using the spin injection technique, which allows the surrounding structure of the element to be simplified. Meanwhile, the free layer employed this composition in a laminated-ferri structure modelled on that used by MRAM devices from Freescale Semiconductor. The combination of the two structures means that data can be compacted and rewritten using a smaller current density, in turn allowing the transistors to be built with smaller dimensions. This enables the memory chip to store more bits, the team claims. Preliminary tests revealed that bits can be rewritten to the element with a current density of one million amperes/cm2, with the results also indicating a level of high thermal stability that would allow for the bits to be stored for over a decade. The development raises the possibility of developing a 45-nanometer process to develop the MRAM chip, which might be capable of the gigabit storage capacity of dynamic read access memory (DRAM). 
   
 
 
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